RJ Bell's Dream Preview
RJ Bell's Dream Preview
Pregame.com
Winning sports picks from Las Vegas. Everything you need for free on the biggest games each week from Pregame.com's Wiseguy Roundtable. Alongside your host RJ Bell, we have professional bettor Steve Fezzik, plus more of the biggest names from the world of sports betting.
MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. The MLB Friday betting preview with Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner broke down twelve games with both hosts riding an 8–2 streak on best bets. Munaf opened by stressing the urgency with roughly 35 games left, while Griffin noted, “we’re getting hot at the right time of year.” Colorado at Pittsburgh led the card. Antonio Senzatela, torched in a 17–16 loss the last time he saw the Pirates, carries a 2–8 road record. Munaf called the over 8.5 the best angle. Griffin, mocking the Rockies as “one of the least competitive franchises in global sports,” leaned Pirates at home but doubted unders due to Colorado bats. Washington at Philadelphia followed with Cade Cavalli against Taijuan Walker. Cavalli threw seven shutout innings versus the Phillies previously, but Munaf warned that rematches favor the hitters. Griffin advised focusing on Phillies run lines and blowout props. The Red Sox at Yankees matchup paired Brayan Bello with Max Fried. Griffin argued the line “doesn’t respect what Bello has done,” while Munaf highlighted Boston’s 6–1 record in Bello’s last seven against New York. Fried has allowed four or more runs in four of his last five. Both favored Boston plus money. Houston at Baltimore featured Lance McCullers in his first start since July 19 against Cade Povich. Griffin pointed to Houston’s offensive slump of just eight runs in seven games. Munaf doubted McCullers’ sharpness and leaned over nine, adding that Adley Rutschman is sidelined and Josh Hader likely out until October. In Detroit, Ryan Bergen faced Casey Mize. Munaf cited Mize’s 3.63 ERA and 103 strikeouts, with Detroit winning his last four starts. Griffin criticized Mize’s All-Star nod and praised Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez. Both leaned under early but saw Royals value. The Mets at Braves matchup showcased rookie Nolan McLean, who struck out eight but walked four in his debut. Griffin favored Atlanta as a home dog and the over 8.5, while Munaf leaned similarly, noting hot Atlanta weather would boost scoring. St. Louis at Tampa Bay featured Miles Mikolas against Adrian Houser. Griffin trusted the Rays’ bullpen, while Munaf stressed Mikolas’ inconsistency and backed Tampa at -128. Minnesota at Chicago pitted Zebby Matthews against Aaron Civale. Griffin quickly said, “give me the White Sox.” Munaf agreed, citing Matthews’ 5.06 ERA and Chicago’s 7–3 record at home on Friday nights, all as underdogs. In Texas, Slade Cecconi met Nathan Eovaldi. Griffin praised Eovaldi’s Cy Young-level form, recommending under plays. Munaf backed that, noting Rangers home unders sit at 64.5 percent. Milwaukee hosting San Francisco saw Carson Whisenhunt oppose José Quintana. Griffin highlighted Bryce Turang’s surge, while Munaf cited Milwaukee’s 42–20 home record and San Francisco’s 13–22 mark against lefties, backing Brewers run line at plus money. Cincinnati at Arizona matched Zach Littell with Ryne Nelson. Munaf praised Nelson’s 5–1, 2.20 ERA home mark across 57 innings, backing the Diamondbacks and their team total. Griffin agreed Arizona held value despite a high price. The Dodgers at Padres closed the slate with Blake Snell against Yu Darvish. Griffin trusted Darvish’s improvement and liked San Diego as a home underdog. Munaf leaned to the under eight, noting Snell’s six scoreless innings against the Padres last week but citing Darvish’s 2.55 career ERA in 16 appearances versus Los Angeles. Best bets closed the show. Griffin picked Tampa Bay over St. Louis, while Munaf selected the over in Houston and Baltimore, both looking to extend their winning streak into the weekend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 22
50 min
Dream Podcast - PreSeasonPalooza, 15 BETS !!
RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers talk Preseason to NFL Week 1 best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 21
1 hr 4 min
Tour Championship and British Masters picks
Will Doctor, the sharpest golf handicapper in the game, is back with a loaded episode breaking down everything from Ryder Cup scenarios to this week’s Tour Championship and British Masters betting boards. Doc starts by recapping the BMW Championship and Danish Golf Championship before diving into the Tour Championship at East Lake, analyzing the top four names on the odds board. From there, he gives out two picks to place, one outright winner, and one outright winner without Scottie Scheffler, his sleeper of the week. The East Lake preview wraps up with two DFS lineups, a scoring prediction, and Doc’s best bet. Stick around until the end as Doc takes you across the pond for the BetFred British Masters, giving out an outright, a matchup, a Top 10, and his best bet of the week. The 2025 Tour Championship at East Lake marks the season finale with a fresh twist: no more staggered scoring. All thirty players begin at even par, turning this into a true head-to-head battle for a $40 million purse and the FedEx Cup trophy. Scottie Scheffler arrives as the clear favorite after winning the BMW for his fifth victory of the year. His numbers are staggering: thirteen straight top-8 finishes, five wins, two majors, and a putter that has finally come alive under Phil Kenyon. At +180 odds he’s expected to dominate, and he could become the first back-to-back FedEx Cup champion. Challengers include Rory McIlroy, a three-time winner here, though his driving has been erratic. Viktor Hovland, champion in 2023, has regained form with strong approach play and improved putting. If the forecasted rain softens the greens, he could thrive. Rising star Ludvig Åberg looks primed for a breakthrough after stringing together flawless all-around stats, and Sam Burns carries momentum from a top finish at the BMW while fighting for a Ryder Cup spot. Ryder Cup implications loom large. Europe’s lineup is mostly settled, with McIlroy, Hovland, Rose, Hatton, Fleetwood, Lowry, Straka, and Åberg locked in. Rasmus Højgaard’s recent run secures his place, while Matthew Fitzpatrick looks safe despite a poor Cup record. For Team USA, the top six are set, but captain Keegan Bradley must decide among Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Bradley himself, Brian Harman, Griffin, and McNeely. East Lake is the final audition, with Burns and Cameron Young also capable of forcing their way in. Scheffler is the man to beat, but East Lake has a history of drama — Rory’s comeback in 2022, Hovland’s weather-delayed win in 2023, Tiger’s unforgettable 2018 victory. This week feels just as loaded. Expect Scheffler to contend for another trophy, but the bigger story may be which players punch their Ryder Cup tickets and who is left behind when the teams head to Bethpage. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 20
41 min
CFB Week 0 Preview + Best Bets !!
Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith dive into CFB Week 0. Week Zero of the college football season always feels like a strange appetizer, a slate that is light on the number of games but heavy on storylines, betting intrigue, and fan chatter. This year the action opens overseas with Iowa State and Kansas State meeting in Dublin for the Aer Lingus College Football Classic. It is a neutral-site matchup, a clash of Big 12 rivals being played far from home in a stadium more accustomed to soccer than Saturday gridiron. Iowa State has enjoyed recent dominance in the series, winning four of the last five, but Kansas State enters as a three-point favorite with a stronger defensive front and the potential breakout of quarterback Avery Johnson in a tempo-driven system. Rocco Beck threw for 3,500 yards last season but lost his two best targets to the NFL, and Matt Campbell’s team feels due for regression after an 11-3 campaign. Some see value on Kansas State to cover, while others eye the under at fifty given the travel, the surface, and the potential for sloppy execution early. Later in the afternoon Kansas christens its new stadium with a visit from Fresno State, a matchup that has already seen line movement from fourteen down to twelve and a half. The Jayhawks return quarterback Jalen Daniels, whose health has long been a question, and welcome new defensive coordinator D.K. McDonald. Kansas finished strong last year and will have the benefit of a true home environment after a season of displacement. Fresno State is rebuilding under Matt Entz, the North Dakota State coach with a sterling FCS record now testing himself at the FBS level. With new coordinators, a new quarterback in EJ Warner, and the loss of most of last year’s offensive stars, the Bulldogs face a tall order. Many bettors trust Kansas to handle business at home, though the total has dropped with expectations of more ball control on both sides. Sam Houston State and Western Kentucky offer a different style of entertainment, with points expected in bunches. The Bearkats bring in Phil Longo to reshape their offense, but it may take more than an offseason to get the scheme working with the current roster. Western Kentucky has become synonymous with explosive passing attacks, and even with a new offensive coordinator the Hilltoppers appear loaded for another high-flying year. Maverick McIver arrives with his play-caller from Abilene Christian, and the line has climbed from seven and a half to double digits. The sharper angle might be Western Kentucky in the first half, laying six and a half before late backdoor scenarios creep in. The finale is the traditional late-night Hawaii game, this time with Stanford crossing the Pacific under interim coach Frank Reich. The Cardinal are in disarray, with Andrew Luck now functioning in a front office role, an entirely new staff, and very little proven talent outside a few safeties. Hawaii, meanwhile, brings back thirteen starters, excitement around quarterback Micah Alejandro after his 500-yard debut, and an upgraded receiving corps that even includes a Stanford transfer. The line has flipped from Stanford favored to Hawaii by two, with bettors trusting the Warriors’ continuity and island home field. With Stanford unsettled and Hawaii motivated, many expect the Rainbow Warriors to control the matchup. Week Zero is quirky, often sharp with numbers that have been posted for months, but it provides the first chance to analyze real action and measure offseason narratives. Kansas State versus Iowa State in Dublin sets the tone, Kansas and Fresno showcase new beginnings in Lawrence, Western Kentucky promises fireworks against Sam Houston, and Hawaii gets its chance to shine against a fallen Stanford. Best bets circle around Kansas State laying three and the under in that opener, but as always the debate will rage across forums and living rooms as fans celebrate the return of college football and the long march toward a new season of Saturdays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 20
30 min
MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. Munaf Manji (0:09–0:58) opens with excitement, noting most teams are 124–126 games deep and division races heating up. He promises best bets and promotions before introducing Griffin Warner. Griffin (0:59–1:13) admits they went 0–2 last episode but were 6–2 in the last eight and ready to build a new streak. Munaf (1:14–2:30) previews Brewers at Cubs, a doubleheader shifted by rain: Boyd vs Patrick, Cubs –130, Brewers +118, total 7.5. Griffin (2:31–3:03) jokes about losing his internet before asking about standings. Munaf (3:04–3:12) says Brewers lead Cubs by eight. Griffin (3:12–5:13) calls Milwaukee’s 31 wins in 38 “incredible” while Cubs are under .500 since midseason and mentally damaged. Munaf (5:14–6:52) adds Brewers are 23–5 since the break, Cubs 13–15, their bats flat with Crow-Armstrong and Tucker slumping. Boyd has pitched well but Cubs have lost four straight of his starts due to no run support. He sticks with Milwaukee. Munaf (7:13–7:56) shifts to Cardinals at Marlins, McGreevy vs Cabrera, Miami –132. Griffin (7:58–9:27) says St. Louis sold at the deadline, bullpen shaky, GM retiring, so it’s Marlins or nothing. Munaf (9:28–11:13) praises Cabrera’s 2.86 ERA at home across 63 innings and sides Miami. Astros at Tigers (11:14–15:33) brings Hunter Brown at +149 against Skubal –165. Griffin calls that price shocking, noting Skubal has allowed three runs in three straight. Munaf confirms it’s the first time Brown has been above +140, citing his 3–0 record with 2.93 ERA vs Detroit. They agree Astros ML and under seven. Blue Jays at Pirates (15:46–19:45): Griffin says Keller is untrustworthy while Scherzer has adjusted. Munaf notes Keller’s struggles but Scherzer’s strong three-game run and backs Jays on the run line. Mets at Nationals (19:47–22:23): Griffin leans over nine, citing poor bullpens. Munaf recalls Peterson’s complete game shutout vs Washington and his 2.43 ERA against them since 2023, while Irvin has allowed 14 runs in three August starts, backing Mets. Mariners at Phillies (22:24–25:34): Griffin doubts Miller’s return, Munaf stresses Sanchez’s 9–1 home record, both back Philadelphia. Orioles at Red Sox (25:35–28:53): Griffin finds Buehler unreliable, Munaf says he struggles to string good starts, both lean over 9.5. White Sox at Braves (28:54–32:06): little faith in either side, White Sox bullpen dismissed. Yankees at Rays (33:11–37:46): Griffin praises Boz but doubts Yankees’ management; Munaf notes Rodon’s 3.25 ERA, New York’s seven wins in ten, and Rays’ cooling bats, siding Yankees –140. Rangers at Royals (37:48–43:38): Lugo has allowed 13 runs in two starts, Griffin leans Rangers with Kelly, Munaf agrees. Athletics at Twins (43:39–47:04): Lopez hasn’t allowed an earned run in 24 innings, Ryan is 12–5 with 2.72 ERA, both lean under but wary of regression. Brewers at Cubs Game 2 (47:06–51:15): Woodruff vs Taillon, Griffin surprised Brewers favored on road but won’t fade them, Munaf notes they’ve won every Woodruff start. Dodgers at Rockies (51:17–53:15): Sheehan vs Gomber, both expect runs at Coors, backing the over. Reds at Angels (53:16–55:49): Griffin tired of Hendricks, Munaf impressed by Greene’s six shutout innings vs Phillies, siding Reds. Giants at Padres (55:51–58:50): Tang gave up six runs in his last outing, Pavetta 12–4 with a 2.7 ERA, Munaf backs Padres team total. Guardians at Diamondbacks (58:58–1:03:18): Griffin distrusts Rodriguez but sees Arizona’s bats dangerous; Munaf notes E-Rod’s poor 5.73 ERA at home, both lean over. Best bets (1:03:44–1:07:35): Griffin locks Astros–Tigers under seven, saying two aces and shaky offenses make it valuable. Munaf selects Yankees ML with Rodon, trusting their form and urgency. They close (1:07:35–1:09:14) with promos and optimism, determined to keep putting money in listeners’ pockets as the postseason nears. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 19
1 hr 12 min
NFL Fantasy Pod - AFC West Position Battles
Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk AFC West position battles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 17
53 min
MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. Munaf Manji opens by previewing the weekend MLB slate, noting tightening division races and their current 6-0 best bet streak, aiming to match last year’s 10-0 run. Griffin Warner jokes about his long commute before they dive into Friday’s matchups. They start with the Cubs hosting the Pirates, Braxton Ashcraft versus Colin Rea, Cubs -196, total 9. Griffin cites Pittsburgh’s weak road offense and bullpen reliance, favoring Chicago, possibly the under if the wind is in. Munaf highlights Chicago’s strong record after losses, with Rea solid at home, backing Cubs -1.5 at -105. For Phillies at Nationals, Zach Wheeler faces MacKenzie Gore, PHI -175, total 8. Griffin notes Wheeler’s home run troubles but likes the over; Munaf recalls Gore’s two earlier meetings with Philadelphia and prefers PHI -1.5. In Texas at Toronto, Jacob deGrom meets Chris Bassitt, TOR +101, total 7.5. Griffin declares the Rangers’ season “cooked” and picks Toronto, telling an “inside the pork” joke. Munaf cites Bassitt’s dominant home record and leans Blue Jays and under. Miami at Boston sees Sandy Alcantara against Lucas Giolito, BOS -163, total 9. Griffin doubts Alcantara’s form and leans over; Munaf notes his road over trend and favors BOS team total and full game over. Atlanta at Cleveland has Hurston Waldrep against Joey Cantillo, CLE -120, total 9. Griffin cites ATL injuries and poor road form, liking Cleveland; Munaf notes Atlanta’s 23-38 road record and backs CLE. Seattle at New York Mets features Luis Castillo versus Sean Manaea, NYM -111, total 8.5. Griffin distrusts the Mets’ bullpen, leaning Seattle; Munaf notes Mariners’ road success in Castillo starts but with some caution. Baltimore at Houston matches Brandon Young against Framber Valdez, HOU -243, total 8. Griffin doubts Young’s MLB quality; Munaf cites HOU’s 8-3 home record with Valdez, backing -1.5. Chicago White Sox at Kansas City pits Aaron Civale against Noah Cameron, KC -180, total 9. Griffin dislikes KC as a home favorite but doubts CWS; Munaf sees value on CWS. Yankees at Cardinals has Luis Gil versus Andre Pallante, NYY -126, total 9. Griffin says STL sold key pieces; Munaf sees Gil in form and likes NYY. Arizona at Colorado, Brandon Pfaadt against Tanner Gordon, ARI -180, total 12. Griffin calls Pfaadt unpredictable, leaning over; Munaf notes Coors Field overs profitable, siding with over and slight COL lean. Angels at A’s has Yusei Kikuchi versus Jack Perkins, near-even odds, total 10. Griffin favors whichever is underdog; Munaf leans under due to Kikuchi’s poor road record. Tampa Bay at San Francisco pits Joel Boyle against Landen Roupp, SF -122, total 8. Griffin notes SF’s poor offense and Boyle’s HR issues, liking TB plus money; Munaf favors SF for Roupp’s form. For best bets, Griffin takes Guardians -120 over Braves, citing motivation disparity, while Munaf picks Cubs -1.5 against Pirates based on their strong post-loss performance and Rea’s reliability. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 15
57 min
Dream Podcast - NFL Preseason Reactions + Best Bets !!
RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Preseason and much more. RJ Bell opens with humor, likening obvious seasonal choices to betting decisions, and transitions into a sales pitch for pregame season picks, stressing that buying early is always best. He notes past success from cappers including A.J. Hoffman at +75 units, Goodfella at +50, Shaker with 20–26, and Steve Fezzik with 10 of 12 winning years, though Fezzik is down this year with 30 pending bets. A podcast coupon TOUCHDOWN75 offers $75 off. Light conversation covers Fezzik “holding down the fort,” movies like Dances with Wolves and Tin Cup, and McKenzie’s trip to Chicago. Shifting to football, Fezzik reports a preseason week one scoring surge: 14 overs, 2 unders, 44.9 points per game, about eight points above totals and eight higher than last year’s week one. Yardage and first down numbers barely rose, suggesting other causes, chiefly a new kickoff rule moving touchbacks to the 35-yard line. Week one saw an 80% return rate, same as last year’s first week, but higher variance from returns creates more scoring opportunities than uniform touchbacks. Another factor is improved field goal prep—kickers now get balls earlier—producing 88.8% accuracy on 63 attempts, including 18 makes from 50+ yards and a 70-yarder, up from 86% last year. RJ and Fezzik argue this, combined with kickoff variance, will cut punts and boost points. Fezzik advises betting overs now before public momentum inflates totals. They analyze betting market evolution, noting early-week line moves remain sharp but late-week ones have softened due to more public money from legalized wagering. Bookmaker practices limiting sharps quickly are discussed alongside anecdotes from Pinnacle’s Henry about reading bettors. Strategic implications emerge for team totals and props tied to strong kickers and returners. RJ prefers season-long overs before adjustment; Fezzik expects kickoff returns to stay near 85% in the regular season. RJ stresses finding betting niches you enjoy. Scott shares success in “longest rush/reception” props using YAC and missed tackle data. Preseason takeaways include that league-wide rule effects matter regardless of personnel, while starter-vs-starter glimpses gain value as preseason progresses. Fezzik’s best bet is Detroit +3.5 vs Miami, citing the Lions’ third game and 8 days rest against Miami’s second game, short week, and back-to-back road travel. RJ outlines how Hall of Fame game participants excel late in week one due to conditioning depth. Scott’s best bet is Eagles -4.5 vs Browns, exploiting Cleveland’s depleted QB depth versus standout Eagles backup Tanner McKee. Scott presents an offensive tackle composite ranking from PFF and pass block win rate to find teams facing weak tackles; 49ers rank second easiest, making Nick Bosa a candidate for Defensive Player of the Year at +1500, sack leader at +1100, or 15+ sacks at +250. Using the same method, the Giants face the third toughest tackle slate, leading RJ to target under on Brian Burns sacks. Discussion notes good defensive lines facing strong tackles make sack production harder. They close with an announcement that Scott will appear less often due to new opportunities but will return during the season, ending with thanks, a Johnny Cash anecdote, and Fezzik quoting Cash lyrics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 14
1 hr 38 min
BMW Championship Picks + Danish Golf Championship Outright
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the BMW Championship and best outright ticket for the Danish Golf Championship -Reviewing Memphis featuring sound from Justin Rose, Tommy Fleetwood, Scottie Scheffler -Rickie Fowler sig. event points situation, hearing from Fowler on performance in Memphis -Ryder Cup scenarios featuring sound of Cantlay discussing Ryder Cup hopes and Keegan's dilemma -Discussing top 7 on odds board at Caves -1 matchup, 1 t10 -1 BMW outright (40/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRL, 2 lineups, scoring -Best Bet -Danish Golf Championship outright (35/1) Will Doctor opens with energy, introducing the BMW Championship at Caves Valley as week two of the FedExCup Playoffs and recapping a dramatic Memphis finish where Justin Rose, at 175–1 odds, claimed his 12th PGA Tour title by birdieing four of his last five holes to beat J.J. Spaun. Rose described his win as stoic, marked by determination and calmness, admitting that focus on execution muted his joy in the moment. Tommy Fleetwood, seeking his first PGA Tour win, led after 54 holes but faltered, finishing second; he emphasized gratitude for fan support and the importance of learning from close calls. Scottie Scheffler briefly shared the final-round lead but lost nearly 1.5 strokes putting on Sunday, missing the playoff by one. Key FedExCup changes saw Kitayama, Cauley, Fowler, Vegas, and Poston move into the top 50 while Potgieter, Spieth, Knapp, Clark, and Martin dropped out. Fowler, who finished T6, knew roughly a top 10 was needed and edged Chris Kirk by one shot to advance. Doctor defended Fowler against criticism over sponsor exemptions, blaming reduced field sizes for controversy, and highlighted that Memphis drew 3.6 million viewers, the best since 2018. Doctor’s betting card suffered as Scheffler’s Sunday putting cost multiple wagers. Brad Payne, caddying for Scheffler, noted good putts simply didn’t fall, while Scheffler praised Spaun’s grit. A win came via Jacob Bridgman over Potgieter, but Xander Schauffele, Wyndham Clark, and Harris English underperformed. On the European Tour, a bet on Christopher Broberg failed as Grant Forrest prevailed. Ryder Cup standings for Team USA show locks in Scheffler, Spaun, Schauffele, Henley, DeChambeau, English, and Thomas, with Morikawa, Bradley, McNeely, and Novak on the bubble. Contenders like Young, Cantlay, and Goderup remain in play. Cantlay endorsed Bradley’s inclusion if he were captain. Team Europe’s locks include McIlroy, Rose, Fleetwood, McIntyre, Hatton, Straka, Lowry, Oberg, Hovland, and Fitzpatrick, with Højgaard and Wallace vulnerable; Jon Rahm will take a spot, and others could qualify with strong finishes. Caves Valley’s redesign features rebuilt greens, narrowed fairways, and lengthened holes, now a par 70 over 7,600 yards. Doctor reviewed top contenders: Scheffler’s form remains strong despite a caddie change, McIlroy’s driving accuracy is a concern, Schauffele and Thomas struggle with consistency, Fleetwood and Oberg offer solid form but questionable value, and Cantlay’s price is too short given recent results. This week’s picks include Fowler over Lowry, Sam Burns for a top 10, Matthew Fitzpatrick outright at 40–1, and Denny McCarthy as sleeper top 10. First round leaders are Scheffler and Burns. The DraftKings lineup features Young, Burns, Fitzpatrick, Fowler, McCarthy, and Novak, with Scheffler as best bet for top American. Doctor also tips Sami Välimäki to win the Danish Golf Championship at 35–1, citing improved iron play and consistent driving and putting. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 13
1 hr 5 min
CFB Group of 5 Season Win Totals !!
Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football Group of Five betting. 0:05 – 0:31 Opening motivational speech emphasizing speed, defensive swarming, and physical dominance — “Out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, out-hustle” — with a repeated call to “leave no doubt tonight.” 0:31 – 1:19 Griffin Warner Introduces the College Football Podcast episode focusing on Group of Five teams, following a prior episode on the Power Four. Announces a promo code and a college football contest, noting the goal is to identify season-long betting opportunities. Date: Tuesday, 1:45 – 2:33 Griffin Warner Explains that Group of Five games offer strong betting opportunities. Begins with Army (West Point) win total: Over 7.5 at +110, Under 7.5 at -140 on BetOnline. 2:35 – 4:41 Lonte Smith — Army Analysis 2023 Recap: 12–2, AAC champions, led by QB Bryson Daly (dark horse Heisman) and RB Kanye Udo. Losses: Daly to graduation, Udo to Arizona State, two Joe Moore Award-winning offensive tackles, best defensive player to Georgia. Returning Talent: Six of top ten tacklers; LB corps Miller & Thomas praised. Concerns: Offensive drop-off, new OL coach, challenging schedule (Tulane, UTSA, Navy, Air Force). Projection: 7–5 ceiling, 6–6 floor → leans Under 7.5. 4:41 – 6:08 Griffin Warner & Lonte Smith — Schedule Talk Army’s 2024 slate includes K-State, North Texas, Tulane, Air Force, Navy (in Baltimore). Lonte favors Navy among service academies, citing better returning production and depth. 7:16 – 14:52 Western Kentucky (C-USA) Odds: Over 7.5 (-125), Under 7.5 (-105). 2023: 8–6 record. Roster: Only 3 starters return (1 offense, 2 defense). Poor 2023 rush defense (224 YPG). Key Additions: QB Maverick McIver (Abilene Christian, 3,500+ yds, 37 TDs), OC Rick Bowie (former Abilene OC). WR Matt Henry (1,100+ yds at Western Illinois). Concerns: OL continuity, defensive holes, rush defense. Schedule: Winnable home games; road tests at Toledo, Delaware, Missouri State. Projection: ~8.6 wins → leans Over 7.5. 15:43 – 20:22 Bowling Green (MAC) Odds: Over 6.5 (+200), Under 6.5 (-260). 2023: 7–6 (6–2 MAC). Changes: New HC Eddie George; ranked 130th in returning production; offense loses top TE hero Fanning (drafted by Browns). Defense: Loses 13 of top 15 tacklers but adds FCS standouts (including Eddie George’s son). Schedule: Lafayette, Cincinnati, Liberty, Louisville early; Toledo and Buffalo at home. Projection: Depth concerns, brutal early stretch → Under (expects ~4–8). 20:53 – 25:10 Air Force (MWC) Odds: Over/Under 6.5 (-115). 2023: 5–7 after starting 1–7, finished on 4-game win streak. Roster: 9 returning starters (6 offense, 3 defense). QB battle (Johnson favored). OL returns 3 starters plus 2 with experience. Defense: Allowed 23 PPG; DL led by Peyton Zurch. Schedule: Bucknell, Boise, Navy, Wyoming, Army, UNLV, SJSU, UConn. Projection: Manageable slate, strong finish expected → Over 6.5 (7–8 wins). 25:38 – 31:06 Georgia Southern (Sun Belt) Odds: Over 7.5 (+130), Under (-160). 2023: 8–5. Roster: 10 starters return (5 offense, 5 defense). QB J.C. French (2,500+ yds, 17 TDs, 11 INTs, 66% comp). Deep WR corps; strong OL with most combined starts in Sun Belt. Defense: Needs rush D improvement; strong secondary led by Chance Gamble. Schedule: Fresno, USC, Jacksonville State, JMU, Coastal, ODU, Marshall. Projection: Favors in most conference games except JMU → Over 7.5 (floor 8 wins). 31:07 – 38:35 Playoff/Long-shot Discussion No strong playoff contenders from teams covered; JMU strong but blocked by JMU matchup for Georgia Southern. Boise State (2–1 to make playoffs) downgraded without RB Ashton Jeanty. Long-shot pick: South Florida (33–1) if QB Byron Brown stays healthy; avoid betting until after tough Miami/Florida stretch. 38:36 – End Best Bet: Army Under 7.5 wins. Rationale: Loss of QB, RB, two elite tackles, new OL coach, tough schedule, regression from 12–2 2023 season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 13
41 min
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