Show notes
Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for week 3.Game PreviewsGeorgia at Tennessee (Line: Georgia -3.5 (down from -7.5).Smith: “I don’t really trust Gunner Stockton… it’ll be a run heavy approach on both sides.”Stat: Georgia top 10 in rush success rate. First-time road starters are 3-10 straight up, 3-9-1 ATS.Lean: Under 49.5, with Tennessee backers getting value if they grabbed +7.Clemson at Georgia Tech (Line fell from -9 to -3.5.Smith: “This is a good buy low spot for Clemson.” Concern over GT QB Haynes King’s health and their 91st-ranked pass success rate.Clemson’s defense and potential WR return could tilt the matchup.Florida at LSU (Line: LSU -7, total 48.5.Florida’s discipline issues showed with 11 penalties for 101 yards.Smith: “Under would be the only way I would look.” LSU’s defense is improving, while QB Lagway’s success depends on teammates cleaning up mistakes.Texas A&M at Notre Dame (Line: Notre Dame -7, total 49.5.Smith stresses urgency: “This is a must win for Notre Dame.”Player stat: Jeremiah Love had 14 touches for 78 yards; Smith insists he must see 20+ carries.A&M ranks outside top 100 in 3rd/4th down success rate.Lean: Notre Dame under 7 and under the total.Best Bets (Lonte Smith: Southern Miss +2.5. “I think Southern Miss wins this game outright.” He cites App State’s struggles against weak opponents and the Marshall-to-Southern Miss coaching/player pipeline.Griffin Warner: Tennessee +3.5. “It’s great to be a Tennessee Vol.” He backs the Knoxville home-field edge against Georgia.TakeawayThe discussion highlights Florida’s lack of discipline, the volatility of young QBs like Stockton, and Notre Dame’s must-win spot. The week closes with confidence in two home underdogs—Southern Miss and Tennessee—as the sharpest plays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices