Unchained
Unchained
Laura Shin
Bits + Bips: Trump Has Spread Uncertainty Across All Markets. What’s Next? - Ep. 798
1 hour 31 minutes Posted Mar 12, 2025 at 11:00 am.
Intro
What’s behind this brutal market selloff
Why making a market prediction right now is nearly impossible
How Trump’s economic moves drive uncertainty
Is the Trump administration intentionally triggering a recession?
The real impact of “austerity” on the economy
What must happen before the market bottoms out
Where inflation might head next
What the VIX is saying about the market
How markets will react to today’s CPI numbers
When might Trump push for tax cuts?
Will ETF buyers create a bitcoin floor?
What a declining Japanese yen reveals about demand for risky assets
Why BTC is the furthest that it has ever been from altcoins
What new groups might step in and buy bitcoin?📉
Whether the Trump administration “fucked up” the economy
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Show notes
The markets are a bloodbath.If you’re feeling lost in the markets right now, you’re not alone. Stocks are getting crushed, bonds are sliding, and crypto isn’t escaping the carnage. The question is: why is everything selling off—and where does it go from here?One thing is clear: the next market move is extremely hard to predict. Between Trump’s economic policies, inflation worries, and DOGE’s cuts, there’s a storm of conflicting signals.So, is this pain temporary? Or are we looking at a long trend downward?Sponsors:BitwiseHosts:
James Seyffart, Research Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence
Alex Kruger, Founder of Asgard
Ram Ahluwalia, CFA, CEO and Founder of Lumida
Guest:
Travis Kling, CIO of Ikigai Asset ManagementLinksRecession? Bloomberg: Trump Says US Economy Faces ‘Transition,’ Avoids Recession Call
InflationBloomberg: Inflation-Linked Bonds Rebound on Trump Tariffs: Credit Weekly
DXYFX Empire: US Dollar Forecast: DXY Sinks as Weak Jobs Data Fuels Rate Cut Bets, EUR/USD Surges
Powell’s comments:
CNN: Fed Chair Powell says he’s not worried about the economy amid Trump’s tariff chaos 
FT: Federal Reserve chief Jay Powell plays down growth worries after jobs report disappoints
Bonds:
Bloomberg: The Bond Market’s Trump Trade Is Looking Like a Recession Trade
CNBC: 10-year Treasury yield rises after weaker-than-expected jobs growth
Bond yields in Europe and elsewhere are rising 
Tariffs:Bloomberg: Lutnick Says Trump Sticking to US Aluminum-Steel Tariff Timeline 
Japan and the carry trade:
Japan's 20-Year Government Bond Yield rises to its highest level since 2008. 
Jeff Park tweeted “Bitcoin is Japan’s game now whether you like it or not” - thoughts?
FT: Japan seeks tariff reprieve after Donald Trump questions long-standing defence pact
China’s deflation: Bloomberg: China’s Inflation Declines Below Zero for First Time in Year
Ukraine War talks: FT: Ukraine seeks to persuade US to resume aid in high-stakes talks
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